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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
+8232u
ROI
+2.9%
win rate
97%
bets
2382
drawdown
20%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

💰
Stake size

10% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+329u
period 24profit withdrawn+123u
period 23profit withdrawn+78u
period 22profit withdrawn+486u
period 21profit withdrawn+145u
period 20profit withdrawn+426u
period 19profit withdrawn+112u
period 18profit withdrawn+345u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll238297%+8232+2.9%20%Select
5% of bankroll238297%+3870+3%13%Select
2% of bankroll238297%+1492+3%6.3%Select
Martingale238297%+766+3.1%3.3%Select
1% of bankroll238297%+737+3%3.4%Select
Flat (10 units)238297%+728+3.1%3.4%Select
Quarter Kelly1486%+90+16.9%6.5%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2382, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.02133won+39232
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.01133won+19229
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.01132won+19228
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.01132won+19227
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.03132won+49225
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.01132won+19221
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.01132won+19220
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.15130won+199219
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.01130won+19199
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.02129won+39198
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.01129won+19195
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.01129won+19194
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.17127won+229193
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.12125won+159171
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.02125won+39156
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.06124won+79154
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.22122won+279146
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityRune Eaters1.01122won+19119
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.01121won+19118
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZRune Eaters1.01121won+19117
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.01121won+19116
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.25118won+309115
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.01118won+19085
07.08.26Team Jenz – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming1.02118won+29084
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkZero Tenacity1.02118won+29081
06.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Power RangersPower Rangers1.08117won+99079
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w TeamTeam Liquid1.22114won+259070
05.08.26PlayTime – Yakult BrothersPlayTime1.01114won+19045
05.08.261w Team – BETBOOM Team1w Team1.01114won+19043
04.08.26Team Liquid – Team FalconsTeam Falcons1.01114won+19042
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersYakult Brothers1.03114won+39041
04.08.26PlayTime – Team ResiliencePlayTime1.06113won+79038
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.03113won+39031
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers1.26110won+299028
03.08.26OG – GamerLegionOG1.01110won+18999
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.30106won+328998
03.08.26LGD Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.01106won+18966
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimePlayTime1.01106won+18965
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.06106won+68964
02.08.26Team Falcons – 1w TeamTeam Falcons1.08105won+88958
02.08.26Yellow Submarine – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.06104won+68949
01.08.26Stray Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.04104won+48943
01.08.26GLYPH – Zero TenacityGLYPH1.10103won+108939
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamNS Team1.20101won+208929
01.08.26BETBOOM Team – GamerLegionBETBOOM Team1.01101won+18909
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.01100won+18908
01.08.26BETBOOM Team – LGD GamingBETBOOM Team1.01100won+18907
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.03100won+38906
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.17110won+198903
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.01110won+18884
31.07.26Enjoy Boys – GLYPHGLYPH1.01110won+18883
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXREKONIX1.05110won+58882
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.01110won+18876
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingIlbirs eSports1.35106won+378875
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingTeam Falcons1.01106won+18838
30.07.26Stray Team – TpaBoMaH TeamStray Team1.02106won+28837
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.01105won+18835
30.07.26Level UP – Zero TenacityLevel UP1.02105won+28834
30.07.26Zero Tenacity – PuckChampZero Tenacity1.03105won+38832
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team1w Team1.12104won+128828
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.