Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.
profit
-1000u
ROI
-100%
win rate
0%
bets
7
drawdown
100%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+0u
period 24profit withdrawn+0u
period 23profit withdrawn+0u
period 22profit withdrawn+0u
period 21profit withdrawn+0u
period 20profit withdrawn+0u
period 19profit withdrawn+0u
period 18profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 7 | 0% | -1000 | -100% | 100% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 514 | 5% | -4371 | -85.1% | 437.1% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 2417 | 3% | -14163 | -89.7% | 1416.3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 2417 | 3% | -19991 | -90.1% | 1999.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 2417 | 3% | -24203 | -90.8% | 2420.3% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 2417 | 3% | -24817 | -92% | 2481.7% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 2417 | 3% | -24863 | -90.9% | 2486.3% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 7, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.08.24 | AVULUS – Dragon Esports | Dragon Esports | 10.00 | 370 | lost | -370 | 0 |
| 23.08.24 | Night Pulse – V1dar Gaming | V1dar Gaming | 13.00 | 320 | lost | -320 | 370 |
| 23.08.24 | AVULUS – Natus Vincere Junior | Natus Vincere Junior | 10.00 | 160 | lost | -160 | 690 |
| 22.08.24 | nouns – Tundra Esports | nouns | 11.00 | 80 | lost | -80 | 850 |
| 22.08.24 | Gaimin Gladiators – BETBOOM Team | Gaimin Gladiators | 14.00 | 40 | lost | -40 | 930 |
| 22.08.24 | Cloud9 – G2 Invictus Gaming | G2 Invictus Gaming | 5.80 | 20 | lost | -20 | 970 |
| 21.08.24 | BETBOOM Team – Tundra Esports | BETBOOM Team | 6.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.