Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Северная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction0021win 2:1
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Sand King Gomezloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
021
Abaddonoften banned
Ark · 1 game
Snapfire
Steelborco · 1 game
Sand King Gomez
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
764 picks · 496 bans
Tiny
544 picks · 392 bans
Tusk
539 picks · 445 bans
Treant Protector
532 picks · 581 bans
Nature's Prophet
413 picks · 627 bans
Snapfire
393 picks · 275 bans
Death Prophet
380 picks · 676 bans
Ember Spirit
358 picks · 770 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% Sand King Gomez
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Sand King Gomez
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
021 36%Sand King Gomez 64%
The model gave 64% on Sand King Gomez — the game was taken by 021.
Game 2prediction correct
021 36%Sand King Gomez 64%
The model gave 64% on Sand King Gomez — the game was taken by Sand King Gomez.
Game 3prediction missed
021 36%Sand King Gomez 64%
The model gave 64% on Sand King Gomez — the game was taken by 021.
Model check result
Model favoriteSand King Gomez · 64%
Series result021 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3