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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 1:2
series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Vici Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
sayuw · 44 games
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 36 games
47%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 29 games
83%
Phoenix
Phoenix
RESPECT · 28 games
54%
Rubick
Rubick
sayuw · 26 games
54%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Corrupted · 23 games
48%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Corrupted · 23 games
43%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
RESPECT · 21 game
52%

Vici Gaming

Windranger
Windranger
shiro · 30 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 23 games
48%
Tiny
Tinysignature
shiro · 23 games
61%
Rubick
Rubick
XinQ · 22 games
59%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 16 games
44%
Kez
Kezsignature
shiro · 14 games
64%
Largo
Largosignature
Faith_bian · 14 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenix
y` · 14 games
36%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
502 picks · 349 bans
52%
Bane
Bane
354 picks · 412 bans
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
343 picks · 632 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
328 picks · 465 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
313 picks · 171 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
307 picks · 340 bans
50%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
303 picks · 583 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
303 picks · 220 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 49%
Hero pool strength52% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:19
HULIGANI 39%Vici Gaming 61%
The model gave 61% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 47:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetssnovv1
53% · 190 games53% · 378 games
Shadow Fiendshiro
Shadow Fiend
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainMirage
45% · 344 games49% · 565 games
Storm SpiritXm
Storm Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerCorrupted
49% · 350 games51% · 542 games
SlardarFaith_bian
Slardar
Hoodwink
HoodwinkRESPECT
52% · 716 games47% · 379 games
RubickXinQ
Rubick
Tusk
Tusksayuw
51% · 473 games52% · 209 games
Undyingy`
Undying
Game 2prediction correct14:25
HULIGANI 38%Vici Gaming 62%
The model gave 62% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 45:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladessnovv1
52% · 244 games50% · 264 games
Shadow Fiendshiro
Shadow Fiend
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainMirage
49% · 354 games44% · 331 game
PangolierXm
Pangolier
Underlord
UnderlordCorrupted
50% · 285 games57% · 155 games
DoomFaith_bian
Doom
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsayuw
55% · 195 games40% · 197 games
RubickXinQ
Rubick
Ringmaster
RingmasterRESPECT
51% · 309 games52% · 440 games
Tusky`
Tusk
Game 3prediction correct21:25
HULIGANI 41%Vici Gaming 59%
The model gave 59% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 54:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealerssnovv1
61% · 82 games46% · 520 games
Tinyshiro
Tiny
Dark Seer
Dark SeerCorrupted
58% · 70 games47% · 221 game
Monkey KingXm
Monkey King
Pangolier
PangolierMirage
48% · 222 games54% · 57 games
MagnusFaith_bian
Magnus
Hoodwink
HoodwinkRESPECT
55% · 454 games41% · 251 game
Dark WillowXinQ
Dark Willow
Tusk
Tusksayuw
48% · 348 games50% · 127 games
Miranay`
Mirana
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 71%
Series resultVici Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3