Immortal Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Scccwin 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team FYloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Sccc
No games played over 6 months.
Team FY
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
457 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
418 picks · 576 bans
Ringmaster
317 picks · 146 bans
Phantom Assassin
302 picks · 609 bans
Terrorblade
285 picks · 512 bans
Muerta
283 picks · 157 bans
Bristleback
281 picks · 511 bans
Beastmaster
276 picks · 564 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Team Sccc
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Team Sccc
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:24
Team Sccc 66%Team FY 34%
The model gave 66% on Team Sccc — the game was taken by Team Sccc in 25:14.
Game 2prediction correct20:28
Team Sccc 66%Team FY 34%
The model gave 66% on Team Sccc — the game was taken by Team Sccc in 33:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Sccc · 66%
Series resultTeam Sccc 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2