Immortal Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Zhouwin 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Scccloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Zhou
No games played over 6 months.
Team Sccc
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
452 picks · 436 bans
Tiny
421 picks · 586 bans
Phantom Assassin
311 picks · 622 bans
Ringmaster
309 picks · 141 bans
Muerta
287 picks · 162 bans
Bristleback
284 picks · 531 bans
Terrorblade
283 picks · 508 bans
Beastmaster
281 picks · 567 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team Zhou
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Team Zhou
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:14
Team Zhou 53%Team Sccc 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Zhou — the game was taken by Team Zhou in 29:39.
Game 2prediction correct23:8
Team Zhou 53%Team Sccc 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Zhou — the game was taken by Team Zhou in 24:42.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Zhou · 53%
Series resultTeam Zhou 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2