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BLAST Slam III · BO3
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aurora Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
Panto · 20 games
55%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
TA2000 · 19 games
42%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Nightfall · 18 games
39%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Mira · 18 games
61%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Nightfall · 17 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
kiyotaka · 15 games
40%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Jabz · 15 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 14 games
64%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 33 games
61%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 27 games
70%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 27 games
52%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 26 games
65%
Batrider
Batrider
Save- · 21 game
48%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kataomi · 21 game
62%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 21 game
57%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 20 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
462 picks · 652 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
441 picks · 427 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
345 picks · 707 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
320 picks · 630 bans
55%
Muerta
Muerta
312 picks · 184 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
306 picks · 607 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
306 picks · 499 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
298 picks · 134 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 54%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 4
Model total53% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:7
Aurora Gaming 49%BETBOOM TEAM 51%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 35:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingkiyotaka
56% · 247 games49% · 109 games
Nature's ProphetPure~
Nature's Prophet
Abaddon
AbaddonNightfall
45% · 79 games45% · 165 games
Ember SpiritgpK~
Ember Spirit
Tidehunter
TidehunterTORONTOTOKYO
54% · 116 games54% · 190 games
BristlebackMieRo
Bristleback
Ringmaster
RingmasterMira
50% · 126 games44% · 82 games
RubickSave-
Rubick
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionPanto
55% · 100 games46% · 122 games
SilencerFly
Silencer
Game 2prediction missed33:6
Aurora Gaming 47%BETBOOM TEAM 53%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 32:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyNightfall
50% · 367 games50% · 284 games
MorphlingPure~
Morphling
Earthshaker
Earthshakerkiyotaka
50% · 134 games49% · 248 games
PuckgpK~
Puck
Magnus
MagnusTORONTOTOKYO
47% · 199 games56% · 179 games
Dark SeerMieRo
Dark Seer
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonMira
43% · 226 games57% · 84 games
TinkerFly
Tinker
Ringmaster
RingmasterPanto
47% · 179 games51% · 310 games
JakiroSave-
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 53%
Series resultAurora Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2