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BLAST Slam III · BO1
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 1:0
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Spiritloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 28 games
82%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 26 games
58%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 26 games
65%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Satanic · 25 games
72%
Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 24 games
75%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 24 games
75%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 23 games
74%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
No[o]ne · 21 game
62%

Team Spirit

Muerta
Muertasignature
rue · 35 games
71%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Larl · 32 games
69%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Miposhka · 29 games
69%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Larl · 28 games
79%
Batrider
Batridersignature
rue · 22 games
73%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Yatoro · 22 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Yatoro · 21 game
62%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 21 game
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
462 picks · 657 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
441 picks · 423 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
347 picks · 718 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
320 picks · 642 bans
55%
Muerta
Muerta
312 picks · 183 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
308 picks · 505 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
304 picks · 607 bans
52%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
298 picks · 133 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 65%
Hero pool strength52% PARIVISION
Head-to-head4 – 6
Model total52% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:14
PARIVISION 55%Team Spirit 45%
The model gave 55% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 38:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingSatanic
52% · 238 games43% · 223 games
TerrorbladeYatoro
Terrorblade
Bristleback
BristlebackDM
50% · 237 games55% · 87 games
Shadow FiendLarl
Shadow Fiend
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
40% · 225 games54% · 223 games
Sand KingCollapse
Sand King
Slark
Slark9Class
52% · 48 games56% · 38 games
DisruptorMiposhka
Disruptor
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionDukalis
53% · 50 games52% · 227 games
Hoodwinkrue
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 52%
Series resultPARIVISION 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1