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BLAST Slam III · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:1
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Tideboundwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 35 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 28 games
71%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 27 games
67%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 26 games
54%
Batrider
Batrider
Save- · 21 game
48%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kataomi · 21 game
62%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 21 game
57%
Lich
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
74%

Team Tidebound

Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
shiro · 30 games
77%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
y` · 28 games
68%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
shiro · 19 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 16 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
NothingToSay · 16 games
38%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
shiro · 15 games
60%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Faith_bian · 13 games
54%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
NothingToSay · 13 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
462 picks · 658 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
439 picks · 422 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
347 picks · 719 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
320 picks · 644 bans
55%
Muerta
Muerta
312 picks · 183 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
309 picks · 507 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
304 picks · 608 bans
52%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
296 picks · 133 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 57%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total54% Team Tidebound
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:25
BETBOOM TEAM 46%Team Tidebound 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Tidebound — the game was taken by Team Tidebound in 40:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetPure~
49% · 153 games46% · 248 games
Terrorbladeshiro
Terrorblade
Puck
PuckgpK~
50% · 228 games56% · 157 games
TimbersawFaith_bian
Timbersaw
Enigma
EnigmaMieRo
56% · 140 games50% · 377 games
PangolierNothingToSay
Pangolier
Ringmaster
RingmasterFly
43% · 163 games49% · 321 game
Jakiroy`
Jakiro
Tiny
TinySave-
49% · 495 games53% · 76 games
Shadow ShamanpLAnet
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tidebound · 54%
Series resultTeam Tidebound 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1