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BLAST Slam III · BO1
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 1:0
series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PARIVISIONloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Muerta
Muertasignature
tOfu · 31 game
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 20 games
60%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Watson · 19 games
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Watson · 18 games
39%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Quinn · 16 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ace · 15 games
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 15 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Malady · 15 games
47%

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 27 games
85%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 26 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
DM · 25 games
60%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Satanic · 25 games
72%
Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 24 games
75%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 24 games
75%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 23 games
74%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
No[o]ne · 21 game
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
462 picks · 658 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
439 picks · 421 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
347 picks · 718 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
319 picks · 644 bans
55%
Muerta
Muerta
312 picks · 183 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
309 picks · 507 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
303 picks · 608 bans
52%
Warlock
Warlock
296 picks · 274 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 63%
Hero pool strength58% PARIVISION
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total71% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:19
Gaimin Gladiators 38%PARIVISION 62%
The model gave 62% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 44:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetWatson
54% · 138 games51% · 206 games
TerrorbladeSatanic
Terrorblade
Monkey King
Monkey KingQuinn
54% · 255 games50% · 337 games
BeastmasterNo[o]ne
Beastmaster
Bristleback
BristlebackAce
57% · 322 games44% · 110 games
MedusaDM
Medusa
Windranger
WindrangertOfu
53% · 173 games44% · 272 games
Gyrocopter9Class
Gyrocopter
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenMalady
50% · 188 games43% · 151 game
RingmasterDukalis
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 71%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1