?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam III · BO1
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 1:0
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 1:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
33 · 46 games
65%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 36 games
83%
Invoker
Invokersignature
bzm · 28 games
71%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
33 · 26 games
54%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
dyrachyo · 26 games
73%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Whitemon · 26 games
85%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
33 · 24 games
71%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Saksa · 24 games
75%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 35 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 28 games
71%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 27 games
67%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 26 games
54%
Batrider
Batrider
Save- · 21 game
48%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kataomi · 21 game
62%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 21 game
57%
Lich
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
74%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
459 picks · 661 bans
49%
Jakiro
Jakiro
437 picks · 423 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
349 picks · 718 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
319 picks · 642 bans
55%
Muerta
Muerta
313 picks · 183 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
309 picks · 509 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
304 picks · 606 bans
52%
Warlock
Warlock
297 picks · 274 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 56%
Hero pool strength57% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head11 – 3
Model total75% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:13
Tundra Esports 63%BETBOOM TEAM 37%
The model gave 63% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 32:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorCrystallis
45% · 86 games56% · 131 game
LifestealerPure~
Lifestealer
Beastmaster
Beastmasterbzm
46% · 218 games55% · 109 games
KunkkagpK~
Kunkka
Dark Seer
Dark Seer33
50% · 149 games56% · 252 games
Sand KingMieRo
Sand King
Tinker
TinkerWhitemon
44% · 76 games51% · 192 games
WindrangerSave-
Windranger
Tiny
TinySaksa
47% · 299 games49% · 144 games
RingmasterFly
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 75%
Series resultTundra Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1