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BLAST Slam III · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:1
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:1
BETBOOM TEAMwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 37 games
68%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
iNSaNiA · 35 games
80%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Boxi · 30 games
73%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
SabeRLight- · 28 games
68%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
SabeRLight- · 24 games
63%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 23 games
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 22 games
73%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
miCKe · 22 games
50%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 35 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 28 games
71%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 27 games
67%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 25 games
52%
Batrider
Batrider
Save- · 21 game
48%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 21 game
57%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kataomi · 20 games
60%
Lich
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
74%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
456 picks · 660 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
434 picks · 422 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
348 picks · 717 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
319 picks · 638 bans
55%
Muerta
Muerta
312 picks · 183 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
309 picks · 508 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
302 picks · 604 bans
52%
Warlock
Warlock
297 picks · 272 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 55%
Hero pool strength52% Team Liquid
Head-to-head4 – 6
Model total68% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:39
Team Liquid 59%BETBOOM TEAM 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 30:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingmiCKe
52% · 284 games50% · 606 games
TinyPure~
Tiny
Pangolier
PangolierNisha
48% · 523 games56% · 352 games
Sand KinggpK~
Sand King
Beastmaster
BeastmasterSabeRLight-
51% · 411 games51% · 267 games
DoomMieRo
Doom
Weaver
WeaverBoxi
48% · 245 games49% · 291 game
Crystal MaidenFly
Crystal Maiden
Jakiro
JakiroiNSaNiA
44% · 389 games51% · 336 games
RubickSave-
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 68%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1