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BLAST Slam III · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:1
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Xtreme Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 35 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 28 games
71%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 26 games
69%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 25 games
52%
Batrider
Batrider
Save- · 21 game
48%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 21 game
57%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kataomi · 20 games
60%
Lich
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
74%

Xtreme Gaming

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Poloson · 29 games
52%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Pyw · 22 games
68%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 22 games
45%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Pyw · 22 games
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
niu · 20 games
75%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
niu · 20 games
70%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
天命 · 19 games
74%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
lou · 18 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
454 picks · 659 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
432 picks · 421 bans
53%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
347 picks · 716 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
319 picks · 634 bans
55%
Muerta
Muerta
312 picks · 183 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
309 picks · 507 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
300 picks · 602 bans
52%
Warlock
Warlock
296 picks · 272 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head6 – 2
Model total57% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:24
BETBOOM TEAM 46%Xtreme Gaming 54%
The model gave 54% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 29:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerPure~
53% · 62 games47% · 241 game
MorphlingAme
Morphling
Monkey King
Monkey KinggpK~
53% · 291 game54% · 236 games
Sand KingXxs
Sand King
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeMieRo
44% · 231 game51% · 266 games
PhoenixXm
Phoenix
Ringmaster
RingmasterSave-
53% · 142 games49% · 213 games
WindrangerXinQ
Windranger
Jakiro
JakiroFly
47% · 376 games50% · 146 games
Elder TitanPoloson
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 57%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1