Школьная лига Сбера 2025 · BO3
result vs predictionМСМБОУ СОШ №2win 2:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
М"МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ №11"loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
МБОУ СОШ №2
No games played over 6 months.
МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ №11"
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
569 picks · 796 bans
Phantom Assassin
431 picks · 825 bans
Muerta
429 picks · 283 bans
Phoenix
403 picks · 616 bans
Bristleback
399 picks · 847 bans
Dragon Knight
371 picks · 891 bans
Pangolier
371 picks · 495 bans
Clockwerk
370 picks · 313 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% МБОУ СОШ №2
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% МБОУ СОШ №2
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
МБОУ СОШ №2 56%МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ №11" 44%
The model gave 56% on МБОУ СОШ №2 — the game was taken by МБОУ СОШ №2.
Game 2prediction missed
МБОУ СОШ №2 56%МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ №11" 44%
The model gave 56% on МБОУ СОШ №2 — the game was taken by МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ №11".
Game 3prediction correct
МБОУ СОШ №2 56%МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ №11" 44%
The model gave 56% on МБОУ СОШ №2 — the game was taken by МБОУ СОШ №2.
Model check result
Model favoriteМБОУ СОШ №2 · 56%
Series resultМБОУ СОШ №2 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3