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CCT Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
РАБОТЯГИwin 2:0
series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Zero Tenacityloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

РАБОТЯГИ

Tusk
Tusksignature
Wein · 10 games
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 9 games
22%
Slardar
Slardar
spirit · 9 games
56%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
asdekor_r · 6 games
33%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Wein · 6 games
33%
Lion
Lion
lupsione · 5 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Mirele · 5 games
60%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
asdekor_r · 5 games
60%

Zero Tenacity

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
LeBronDota · 36 games
36%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
DaaD- · 35 games
51%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Nefrit · 27 games
63%
Lion
Lion
Pablo · 27 games
44%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Nefrit · 27 games
41%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Stojkov · 26 games
46%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Nefrit · 24 games
29%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
jAMES · 24 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
570 picks · 801 bans
49%
Muerta
Muerta
443 picks · 290 bans
51%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
429 picks · 823 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
410 picks · 638 bans
51%
Bristleback
Bristleback
408 picks · 856 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
382 picks · 337 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
379 picks · 1004 bans
57%
Pangolier
Pangolier
375 picks · 508 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 57%
Hero pool strength51% РАБОТЯГИ
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total79% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:16
РАБОТЯГИ 33%Zero Tenacity 67%
The model gave 67% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by РАБОТЯГИ in 37:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinssnovv1
47% · 139 games55% · 206 games
LifestealerRetsu
Lifestealer
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinMirele
48% · 102 games49% · 134 games
LinaStojkov
Lina
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnerspirit
51% · 132 games52% · 179 games
Primal BeastNefrit
Primal Beast
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidenasdekor_r
49% · 166 games52% · 242 games
JakiroLeBronDota
Jakiro
Tiny
TinyWein
50% · 295 games45% · 73 games
RingmasterPablo
Ringmaster
Game 2prediction missed28:13
РАБОТЯГИ 32%Zero Tenacity 68%
The model gave 68% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by РАБОТЯГИ in 33:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
Ursassnovv1
59% · 122 games49% · 154 games
TidehunterNefrit
Tidehunter
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMirele
51% · 211 games51% · 65 games
SlarkRetsu
Slark
Medusa
Medusaspirit
45% · 106 games48% · 401 game
Dragon KnightStojkov
Dragon Knight
Jakiro
Jakiroasdekor_r
49% · 204 games44% · 305 games
MuertaPablo
Muerta
Tiny
TinyWein
48% · 392 games57% · 110 games
Ancient ApparitionLeBronDota
Ancient Apparition
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 79%
Series resultРАБОТЯГИ 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2