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ESL One Raleigh 2025 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
AVULUSloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 42 games
69%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 31 game
68%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 26 games
62%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 26 games
69%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Magnus
Magnussignature
MieRo · 23 games
74%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
68%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Kataomi · 21 game
57%

AVULUS

Lion
Lionsignature
Ekki · 36 games
61%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Xibbe · 35 games
49%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Stormstormer · 32 games
56%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
SoNNeikO · 31 game
52%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ekki · 28 games
43%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Smiling Knight · 25 games
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
SoNNeikO · 25 games
52%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Smiling Knight · 22 games
59%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
567 picks · 807 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
444 picks · 292 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
432 picks · 816 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
420 picks · 650 bans
51%
Bristleback
Bristleback
404 picks · 860 bans
54%
Magnus
Magnus
386 picks · 1010 bans
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
383 picks · 346 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
379 picks · 514 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 43%
Hero pool strength56% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total83% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:31
BETBOOM TEAM 71%AVULUS 29%
The model gave 71% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 51:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterPure~
53% · 267 games56% · 8 games
Wraith KingSmiling Knight
Wraith King
Bristleback
BristlebackMieRo
52% · 196 games46% · 466 games
TinyMo13ei
Tiny
Slardar
SlardargpK~
51% · 91 game50% · 182 games
JakiroXibbe
Jakiro
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionKataomi
57% · 85 games49% · 106 games
EarthshakerdEsire
Earthshaker
Batrider
BatriderSave-
46% · 243 games46% · 120 games
WarlockSoNNeikO
Warlock
Game 2prediction correct31:4
BETBOOM TEAM 70%AVULUS 30%
The model gave 70% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinPure~
43% · 189 games50% · 142 games
SvenSmiling Knight
Sven
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritgpK~
52% · 275 games48% · 369 games
TinyMo13ei
Tiny
Tidehunter
TidehunterMieRo
57% · 155 games51% · 191 game
Dark SeerXibbe
Dark Seer
Ringmaster
RingmasterSave-
48% · 63 games52% · 126 games
Night StalkerdEsire
Night Stalker
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
45% · 306 games55% · 160 games
WarlockSoNNeikO
Warlock
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 83%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2