European Pro League Season 25 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Lynxwin 2:0series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Passion UAloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Lynx
No games played over 6 months.
Passion UA
Hoodwink
Fernans · 32 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 28 games
Tusk
flacko · 27 games
Batridersignature
Fernans · 25 games
Tinyoften banned
niche · 25 games
Bristlebacksignature
Batyuk · 24 games
Dark Willow
Fernans · 20 games
Pangolieroften banned
niche · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
571 picks · 811 bans
Muerta
445 picks · 302 bans
Phantom Assassin
433 picks · 812 bans
Phoenix
428 picks · 657 bans
Bristleback
408 picks · 864 bans
Magnus
387 picks · 1036 bans
Clockwerk
386 picks · 365 bans
Pangolier
382 picks · 521 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 43%
Hero pool strength51% Passion UA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Lynx 18%Passion UA 82%
The model gave 82% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Team Lynx.
Game 2prediction missed
Team Lynx 18%Passion UA 82%
The model gave 82% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Team Lynx.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 82%
Series resultTeam Lynx 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2