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ESL One Raleigh 2025 · BO2
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
33 · 46 games
67%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 41 game
80%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 33 games
67%
Invoker
Invokersignature
bzm · 31 game
68%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
bzm · 30 games
73%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Whitemon · 30 games
83%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Saksa · 29 games
69%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Saksa · 28 games
54%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 41 game
71%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 31 game
68%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 26 games
62%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 24 games
67%
Magnus
Magnussignature
MieRo · 23 games
74%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
68%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Kataomi · 21 game
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
567 picks · 806 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
447 picks · 304 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
431 picks · 803 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
428 picks · 662 bans
51%
Bristleback
Bristleback
405 picks · 866 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
390 picks · 369 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
385 picks · 1042 bans
57%
Pangolier
Pangolier
382 picks · 523 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)72% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head10 – 4
Model total63% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:20
Tundra Esports 57%BETBOOM TEAM 43%
The model gave 57% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 42:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kunkka
Kunkkabzm
46% · 53 games50% · 281 game
TinygpK~
Tiny
Bristleback
BristlebackCrystallis
51% · 230 games43% · 105 games
UrsaPure~
Ursa
Sand King
Sand King33
56% · 165 games49% · 92 games
BrewmasterMieRo
Brewmaster
Jakiro
JakiroSaksa
51% · 255 games47% · 224 games
MuertaSave-
Muerta
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionWhitemon
57% · 86 games48% · 87 games
SilencerKataomi
Silencer
Game 2prediction missed39:32
Tundra Esports 57%BETBOOM TEAM 43%
The model gave 57% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Snapfire
Snapfirebzm
40% · 180 games46% · 145 games
UrsaPure~
Ursa
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterCrystallis
49% · 347 games57% · 209 games
Monkey KinggpK~
Monkey King
Dark Seer
Dark Seer33
55% · 180 games52% · 221 game
BristlebackMieRo
Bristleback
Ringmaster
RingmasterWhitemon
53% · 68 games51% · 266 games
Shadow DemonSave-
Shadow Demon
Tusk
TuskSaksa
51% · 298 games47% · 232 games
JakiroKataomi
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 63%
Accuracy by game1 of 2