European Pro League Season 25 · BO3
result vs predictionBBBikini Bottomwin 2:0
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Lynxloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Bikini Bottom
Bounty Hunteroften banned
QBFY · 3 games
Jakirooften banned
aik · 3 games
Marsoften banned
fortniteMan · 3 games
Ringmaster
aik · 2 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
rincyq · 2 games
Tusk
QBFY · 2 games
Crystal Maiden
aik · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
ряф^^ · 1 game
Team Lynx
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
567 picks · 798 bans
Muerta
448 picks · 315 bans
Phoenix
433 picks · 674 bans
Phantom Assassin
428 picks · 796 bans
Bristleback
404 picks · 875 bans
Clockwerk
394 picks · 373 bans
Magnus
387 picks · 1061 bans
Pangolier
383 picks · 529 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 33%
Hero pool strength51% Team Lynx
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Bikini Bottom
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Bikini Bottom 78%Team Lynx 22%
The model gave 78% on Bikini Bottom — the game was taken by Bikini Bottom.
Game 2prediction correct
Bikini Bottom 78%Team Lynx 22%
The model gave 78% on Bikini Bottom — the game was taken by Bikini Bottom.
Model check result
Model favoriteBikini Bottom · 78%
Series resultBikini Bottom 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2