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ESL One Raleigh 2025 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Tideboundloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 39 games
74%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 30 games
70%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 26 games
62%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 24 games
67%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
68%
Magnus
Magnussignature
MieRo · 22 games
77%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kataomi · 20 games
60%

Team Tidebound

Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
shiro · 17 games
88%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
y` · 17 games
76%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
shiro · 12 games
75%
Muerta
Muertasignature
y` · 10 games
60%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Faith_bian · 10 games
70%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
shiro · 10 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 9 games
56%
Magnus
Magnussignature
NothingToSay · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
564 picks · 792 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
450 picks · 320 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
437 picks · 677 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
427 picks · 790 bans
53%
Bristleback
Bristleback
403 picks · 875 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
396 picks · 380 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
385 picks · 529 bans
48%
Magnus
Magnus
384 picks · 1067 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 68%
Hero pool strength50% Team Tidebound
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% Team Tidebound
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:17
BETBOOM TEAM 48%Team Tidebound 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Tidebound — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 45:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Broodmother
BroodmotherPure~
45% · 44 games45% · 106 games
Ursashiro
Ursa
Tiny
TinygpK~
52% · 236 games51% · 174 games
Dark SeerFaith_bian
Dark Seer
Enigma
EnigmaMieRo
55% · 71 game53% · 115 games
EarthshakerNothingToSay
Earthshaker
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
50% · 29 games40% · 42 games
Tinkery`
Tinker
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
48% · 171 game56% · 114 games
Night StalkerpLAnet
Night Stalker
Game 2prediction missed15:35
BETBOOM TEAM 51%Team Tidebound 49%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Tidebound in 34:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmastergpK~
50% · 262 games46% · 70 games
TinkerNothingToSay
Tinker
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendPure~
51% · 125 games52% · 241 game
BristlebackFaith_bian
Bristleback
Kunkka
KunkkaMieRo
47% · 92 games50% · 44 games
Clinkzshiro
Clinkz
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
51% · 184 games50% · 184 games
WindrangerpLAnet
Windranger
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
48% · 169 games53% · 293 games
Tusky`
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tidebound · 52%
Accuracy by game0 of 2