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CCT Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
OGloss 1:2
series probability
92%8%
probability at match start · final 1:2
РАБОТЯГИwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
xNova · 16 games
38%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Nine · 15 games
40%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ari · 12 games
50%
Muerta
Muerta
Daze · 12 games
25%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Ceb · 11 games
27%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Nine · 11 games
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Wisper · 9 games
44%
Enchantress
Enchantress
xNova · 9 games
33%

РАБОТЯГИ

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 7 games
29%
Slardar
Slardar
spirit · 7 games
57%
Tusk
Tusk
lupsione · 6 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
asdekor_r · 5 games
40%
Lion
Lion
lupsione · 5 games
40%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Mirele · 5 games
20%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
zvёzd · 4 games
75%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Somnia · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
562 picks · 794 bans
49%
Muerta
Muerta
453 picks · 322 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
444 picks · 677 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
430 picks · 783 bans
53%
Bristleback
Bristleback
405 picks · 874 bans
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
404 picks · 382 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
386 picks · 530 bans
48%
Magnus
Magnus
384 picks · 1076 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 35%
Hero pool strength54% РАБОТЯГИ
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:33
OG 78%РАБОТЯГИ 22%
The model gave 78% on OG — the game was taken by РАБОТЯГИ in 46:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin423
54% · 179 games56% · 62 games
Svenssnovv1
Sven
Lycan
LycanDavai
53% · 117 games46% · 239 games
PangolierMirele
Pangolier
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritStormstormer
51% · 309 games49% · 98 games
Sand Kingspirit
Sand King
Night Stalker
Night StalkerDaze
53% · 117 games44% · 321 game
TinyWein
Tiny
Ringmaster
RingmasterKidaro
49% · 46 games50% · 48 games
Silencerasdekor_r
Silencer
Game 2prediction correct31:13
OG 77%РАБОТЯГИ 23%
The model gave 77% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 30:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightStormstormer
45% · 393 games51% · 400 games
Tinyssnovv1
Tiny
Terrorblade
Terrorblade423
39% · 225 games50% · 245 games
Ember SpiritMirele
Ember Spirit
Slardar
SlardarDavai
44% · 110 games55% · 167 games
Sand Kingspirit
Sand King
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightDaze
55% · 97 games59% · 54 games
Ancient ApparitionWein
Ancient Apparition
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenKidaro
59% · 219 games48% · 178 games
Jakiroasdekor_r
Jakiro
Game 3prediction missed16:33
OG 77%РАБОТЯГИ 23%
The model gave 77% on OG — the game was taken by РАБОТЯГИ in 49:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerStormstormer
53% · 140 games44% · 74 games
Troll Warlordssnovv1
Troll Warlord
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeDavai
46% · 128 games54% · 143 games
Templar AssassinMirele
Templar Assassin
Sven
Sven423
47% · 88 games55% · 97 games
Tidehunterspirit
Tidehunter
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenKidaro
51% · 97 games51% · 36 games
Tinkerasdekor_r
Tinker
Night Stalker
Night StalkerDaze
47% · 80 games50% · 183 games
TuskWein
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 92%
Series resultРАБОТЯГИ 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3