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CCT Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAwin 2:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
РАБОТЯГИloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Passion UA

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 30 games
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 27 games
44%
Tusk
Tusk
flacko · 26 games
50%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Fernans · 25 games
60%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Batyuk · 24 games
71%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
niche · 24 games
46%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Fernans · 20 games
45%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
niche · 19 games
58%

РАБОТЯГИ

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 7 games
29%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
spirit · 6 games
50%
Lion
Lion
lupsione · 5 games
40%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Mirele · 5 games
20%
Tusk
Tusk
lupsione · 5 games
40%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
zvёzd · 4 games
75%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Somnia · 4 games
25%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
spirit · 4 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
556 picks · 788 bans
49%
Muerta
Muerta
451 picks · 332 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
439 picks · 711 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
413 picks · 404 bans
53%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
413 picks · 736 bans
53%
Bristleback
Bristleback
399 picks · 900 bans
57%
Magnus
Magnus
399 picks · 1064 bans
57%
Pangolier
Pangolier
384 picks · 531 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 33%
Hero pool strength55% Passion UA
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total76% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Passion UA 76%РАБОТЯГИ 24%
The model gave 76% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Game 2prediction correct
Passion UA 76%РАБОТЯГИ 24%
The model gave 76% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 76%
Series resultPassion UA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2