CCT Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAwin 2:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:1
EGEnd Gameloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Passion UA
Hoodwink
Fernans · 30 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 27 games
Tusk
flacko · 26 games
Batridersignature
Fernans · 25 games
Bristlebacksignature
Batyuk · 24 games
Tinyoften banned
niche · 24 games
Dark Willow
Fernans · 20 games
Pangolieroften banned
niche · 19 games
End Game
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
544 picks · 766 bans
Muerta
442 picks · 328 bans
Phoenix
435 picks · 709 bans
Clockwerk
413 picks · 405 bans
Phantom Assassin
402 picks · 707 bans
Bristleback
394 picks · 894 bans
Magnus
390 picks · 1049 bans
Pangolier
378 picks · 520 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 43%
Hero pool strength51% Passion UA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Passion UA 59%End Game 41%
The model gave 59% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Game 2prediction missed
Passion UA 59%End Game 41%
The model gave 59% on Passion UA — the game was taken by End Game.
Game 3prediction correct
Passion UA 59%End Game 41%
The model gave 59% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 59%
Series resultPassion UA 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3