CCT Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Apple City Gangloss 0:2series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Y5 Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Apple City Gang
Pangoliersignature
Norma · 7 games
Marcioften banned
flacko · 6 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Norma · 5 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
yowaai · 5 games
Clockwerk
Astral · 4 games
Invokeroften banned
dualrazee · 4 games
Jakiro
flacko · 4 games
Leshrac
dualrazee · 4 games
Y5 Esports
Beastmasteroften banned
Dominic · 4 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Dominic · 2 games
Timbersawoften banned
Dominic · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Dominic · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
Dominic · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
544 picks · 766 bans
Muerta
442 picks · 328 bans
Phoenix
435 picks · 709 bans
Clockwerk
413 picks · 405 bans
Phantom Assassin
402 picks · 707 bans
Bristleback
394 picks · 894 bans
Magnus
390 picks · 1049 bans
Pangolier
378 picks · 520 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 47%
Hero pool strength58% Apple City Gang
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Apple City Gang
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Apple City Gang 76%Y5 Esports 24%
The model gave 76% on Apple City Gang — the game was taken by Y5 Esports.
Game 2prediction missed
Apple City Gang 76%Y5 Esports 24%
The model gave 76% on Apple City Gang — the game was taken by Y5 Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteApple City Gang · 76%
Series resultY5 Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2