CCT Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Quantum Teamloss 1:2series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Y5 Esportswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Quantum Team
Phoenixoften banned
Fezor · 12 games
Magnusoften banned
Rvze · 11 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Rvze · 11 games
Tinyoften banned
Rvze · 11 games
Morphlingoften banned
bashka · 10 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 10 games
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 10 games
Batrideroften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 9 games
Y5 Esports
Beastmasteroften banned
Dominic · 4 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Dominic · 2 games
Timbersawoften banned
Dominic · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Dominic · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
Dominic · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
538 picks · 756 bans
Muerta
439 picks · 322 bans
Phoenix
434 picks · 709 bans
Clockwerk
412 picks · 404 bans
Phantom Assassin
397 picks · 693 bans
Bristleback
392 picks · 883 bans
Magnus
388 picks · 1040 bans
Pangolier
375 picks · 514 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 43%
Hero pool strength54% Y5 Esports
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total62% Quantum Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Quantum Team 62%Y5 Esports 38%
The model gave 62% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by Y5 Esports.
Game 2prediction correct
Quantum Team 62%Y5 Esports 38%
The model gave 62% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by Quantum Team.
Game 3prediction missed
Quantum Team 62%Y5 Esports 38%
The model gave 62% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by Y5 Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuantum Team · 62%
Series resultY5 Esports 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3