DreamLeague Season 26. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Shopify Rebellionwin 2:0series probability
94%6%
probability at match start · final 2:0
WWhiteIceloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Shopify Rebellion
Earth Spiritoften banned
Yopaj · 16 games
Zeussignature
Skem · 13 games
Beastmasteroften banned
mangekyou · 12 games
Magnussignature
Yopaj · 12 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Timado · 11 games
Morphlingoften banned
Timado · 11 games
Batridersignature
Hellscream · 10 games
Lichsignature
Skem · 10 games
WhiteIce
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
537 picks · 748 bans
Muerta
438 picks · 321 bans
Phoenix
433 picks · 708 bans
Clockwerk
412 picks · 404 bans
Bristleback
391 picks · 882 bans
Phantom Assassin
388 picks · 690 bans
Magnus
386 picks · 1031 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 511 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 54%
Hero pool strength55% Shopify Rebellion
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total94% Shopify Rebellion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:21
Shopify Rebellion 94%WhiteIce 6%
The model gave 94% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 31:40.
Game 2prediction correct
Shopify Rebellion 94%WhiteIce 6%
The model gave 94% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion.
Model check result
Model favoriteShopify Rebellion · 94%
Series resultShopify Rebellion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2