DreamLeague Season 26. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionPPPerrito Panzonwin 2:0
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
LLowProfileloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Perrito Panzon
No games played over 6 months.
LowProfile
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
536 picks · 746 bans
Muerta
437 picks · 319 bans
Phoenix
433 picks · 707 bans
Clockwerk
410 picks · 403 bans
Bristleback
390 picks · 882 bans
Phantom Assassin
388 picks · 687 bans
Magnus
386 picks · 1030 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 511 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Perrito Panzon
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Perrito Panzon
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:21
Perrito Panzon 61%LowProfile 39%
The model gave 61% on Perrito Panzon — the game was taken by Perrito Panzon in 34:44.
Game 2prediction correct38:21
Perrito Panzon 61%LowProfile 39%
The model gave 61% on Perrito Panzon — the game was taken by Perrito Panzon in 26:19.
Model check result
Model favoritePerrito Panzon · 61%
Series resultPerrito Panzon 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2