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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Grind Backwin 2:0
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Execrationloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Grind Back

Tiny
Tiny
Cije · 3 games
0%
Bane
Bane
ace12 · 2 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
OneJey · 2 games
0%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
0%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
0%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
seimei · 1 game
0%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
Cije · 1 game
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
seimei · 1 game
100%

Execration

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 16 games
44%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Bob · 12 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Palos · 11 games
55%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
cml · 11 games
55%
Jakiro
Jakiro
cml · 10 games
40%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 10 games
50%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Tino- · 9 games
44%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
cml · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
644 picks · 443 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
592 picks · 334 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
471 picks · 551 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
458 picks · 660 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
429 picks · 374 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
354 picks · 516 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
347 picks · 405 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
341 picks · 1028 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 47%
Hero pool strength58% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:14
Grind Back 40%Execration 60%
The model gave 60% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 45:32.
Game 2prediction missed
Grind Back 40%Execration 60%
The model gave 60% on Execration — the game was taken by Grind Back.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 60%
Series resultGrind Back 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2