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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
GLYPHloss 1:2
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Grind Backwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GLYPH

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
NARMAN · 9 games
44%
Rubick
Rubick
Jhocam · 9 games
33%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 9 games
67%
Tusk
Tusk
Jhocam · 9 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
zeal · 8 games
38%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
JaCkky · 8 games
50%
Windranger
Windranger
JaCkky · 8 games
50%

Grind Back

Tiny
Tiny
Cije · 3 games
0%
Bane
Bane
ace12 · 2 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
OneJey · 2 games
0%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
0%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
0%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
seimei · 1 game
0%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
Cije · 1 game
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
seimei · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
638 picks · 442 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
590 picks · 333 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
470 picks · 553 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
457 picks · 659 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
430 picks · 375 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
354 picks · 520 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
344 picks · 405 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
340 picks · 1027 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 54%
Hero pool strength57% GLYPH
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% GLYPH
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:3
GLYPH 69%Grind Back 31%
The model gave 69% on GLYPH — the game was taken by GLYPH in 27:09.
Game 2prediction missed13:25
GLYPH 69%Grind Back 31%
The model gave 69% on GLYPH — the game was taken by Grind Back in 43:14.
Game 3prediction missed6:29
GLYPH 69%Grind Back 31%
The model gave 69% on GLYPH — the game was taken by Grind Back in 40:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteGLYPH · 69%
Series resultGrind Back 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3