DreamLeague Season 26. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction4Z4 Zoomerswin 2:0
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
RBRed Bullsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Red Bulls
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
522 picks · 716 bans
Muerta
429 picks · 312 bans
Phoenix
426 picks · 699 bans
Clockwerk
409 picks · 399 bans
Phantom Assassin
379 picks · 645 bans
Bristleback
378 picks · 869 bans
Magnus
378 picks · 1001 bans
Pangolier
364 picks · 507 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Red Bulls
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:10
4 Zoomers 49%Red Bulls 51%
The model gave 51% on Red Bulls — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 23:40.
Game 2prediction missed13:5
4 Zoomers 49%Red Bulls 51%
The model gave 51% on Red Bulls — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 9:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteRed Bulls · 51%
Series result4 Zoomers 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2