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DreamLeague Season 26. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Level UPwin 1:0
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:0
РАБОТЯГИloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Level UP

Rubick
Rubick
Jeezy · 11 games
45%
Tusk
Tusk
SsaSpartan · 10 games
40%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
MaTson · 8 games
25%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
SsaSpartan · 8 games
38%
Puck
Puckoften banned
MaTson · 7 games
29%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Focus · 6 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
SsaSpartan · 6 games
50%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Wuiter · 6 games
50%

РАБОТЯГИ

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 7 games
29%
Slardar
Slardar
spirit · 6 games
50%
Lion
Lion
lupsione · 5 games
40%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Mirele · 5 games
20%
Tusk
Tusk
lupsione · 5 games
40%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
zvёzd · 4 games
75%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Somnia · 4 games
25%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
spirit · 4 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
517 picks · 712 bans
48%
Muerta
Muerta
427 picks · 312 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
426 picks · 698 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
409 picks · 399 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
378 picks · 868 bans
58%
Magnus
Magnus
377 picks · 997 bans
58%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
377 picks · 642 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
364 picks · 505 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)22% vs 33%
Hero pool strength52% Level UP
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% РАБОТЯГИ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Level UP 46%РАБОТЯГИ 54%
The model gave 54% on РАБОТЯГИ — the game was taken by Level UP.
Model check result
Model favoriteРАБОТЯГИ · 54%
Series resultLevel UP 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1