DreamLeague Season 26. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionWWhiteIcewin 2:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CDUB Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
WhiteIce
No games played over 6 months.
CDUB Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
514 picks · 710 bans
Phoenix
426 picks · 696 bans
Muerta
422 picks · 311 bans
Clockwerk
409 picks · 399 bans
Phantom Assassin
377 picks · 636 bans
Bristleback
376 picks · 865 bans
Magnus
376 picks · 995 bans
Pangolier
364 picks · 502 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% WhiteIce
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% WhiteIce
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:12
WhiteIce 50%CDUB Esports 50%
The model gave 50% on WhiteIce — the game was taken by WhiteIce in 28:52.
Game 2prediction correct25:16
WhiteIce 50%CDUB Esports 50%
The model gave 50% on WhiteIce — the game was taken by WhiteIce in 29:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteWhiteIce · 50%
Series resultWhiteIce 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2