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FISSURE Universe: Episode 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 38 games
74%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 28 games
71%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 26 games
62%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 23 games
65%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
68%
Magnus
Magnussignature
MieRo · 21 game
76%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
MieRo · 19 games
63%

Gaimin Gladiators

Muerta
Muertasignature
tOfu · 37 games
70%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Quinn · 22 games
55%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Watson · 18 games
44%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Watson · 18 games
56%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Watson · 18 games
44%
Mirana
Mirana
tOfu · 17 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ace · 16 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Seleri · 16 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
511 picks · 705 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
425 picks · 694 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
420 picks · 310 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
409 picks · 398 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
376 picks · 861 bans
58%
Magnus
Magnus
375 picks · 991 bans
58%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
374 picks · 629 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
361 picks · 501 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 52%
Hero pool strength57% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total65% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:32
BETBOOM TEAM 59%Gaimin Gladiators 41%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 34:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinPure~
49% · 73 games57% · 274 games
Storm SpiritQuinn
Storm Spirit
Pangolier
PangoliergpK~
46% · 296 games46% · 96 games
Troll WarlordWatson
Troll Warlord
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
50% · 185 games52% · 194 games
Centaur WarrunnerAce
Centaur Warrunner
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
44% · 58 games55% · 67 games
Shadow ShamantOfu
Shadow Shaman
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenKataomi
48% · 126 games51% · 107 games
WarlockMalady
Warlock
Game 2prediction correct32:10
BETBOOM TEAM 59%Gaimin Gladiators 41%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 40:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterPure~
52% · 248 games46% · 97 games
AlchemistWatson
Alchemist
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassingpK~
51% · 103 games57% · 129 games
Dark SeerAce
Dark Seer
Tidehunter
TidehunterMieRo
54% · 73 games52% · 219 games
Dragon KnightQuinn
Dragon Knight
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenKataomi
46% · 156 games41% · 117 games
SnapfiretOfu
Snapfire
Ringmaster
RingmasterSave-
36% · 6 games50% · 24 games
SilencerMalady
Silencer
Game 3prediction correct42:11
BETBOOM TEAM 56%Gaimin Gladiators 44%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 30:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinPure~
51% · 113 games41% · 74 games
AbaddonAce
Abaddon
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightgpK~
49% · 191 game52% · 177 games
Ember SpiritWatson
Ember Spirit
Dark Seer
Dark SeerMieRo
60% · 128 games53% · 29 games
HuskarQuinn
Huskar
Silencer
SilencerKataomi
45% · 48 games56% · 47 games
Keeper of the LighttOfu
Keeper of the Light
Ringmaster
RingmasterSave-
43% · 17 games49% · 170 games
JakiroMalady
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 65%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3