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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:0
series probability
97%3%
probability at match start · final 2:0
VP.Prodigyloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
rue · 41 game
59%
Tusk
Tusk
rue · 22 games
50%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Collapse · 20 games
65%
Largo
Largosignature
Collapse · 20 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 20 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 19 games
53%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Collapse · 19 games
58%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Panto · 18 games
61%

VP.Prodigy

Ringmaster
Ringmaster
raregods · 29 games
34%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
JANTER · 28 games
64%
Tiny
Tiny
raregods · 26 games
50%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
raregods · 17 games
59%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
cutie · 17 games
65%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 17 games
24%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
cutie · 16 games
75%
Largo
Largooften banned
takizawa · 16 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
635 picks · 439 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
585 picks · 329 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
470 picks · 559 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
457 picks · 662 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
433 picks · 374 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
350 picks · 523 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
342 picks · 408 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
340 picks · 1030 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 40%
Hero pool strength54% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total97% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:16
Team Spirit 86%VP.Prodigy 14%
The model gave 86% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 42:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeYatoro
53% · 89 games54% · 103 games
Keeper of the LightSerenada
Keeper of the Light
Snapfire
SnapfireLarl
45% · 163 games59% · 28 games
Vengeful Spiritcutie
Vengeful Spirit
Doom
DoomCollapse
46% · 163 games58% · 139 games
LargoMiyaoo
Largo
Phoenix
Phoenixrue
42% · 232 games46% · 289 games
Rubickraregods
Rubick
Lion
Lionnot me
50% · 127 games53% · 215 games
ClockwerkJANTER
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct35:14
Team Spirit 87%VP.Prodigy 13%
The model gave 87% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 31:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetYatoro
56% · 232 games52% · 152 games
Terrorbladecutie
Terrorblade
Doom
DoomCollapse
60% · 188 games49% · 174 games
DawnbreakerMiyaoo
Dawnbreaker
Zeus
ZeusLarl
44% · 35 games49% · 240 games
BeastmasterSerenada
Beastmaster
Rubick
Rubicknot me
50% · 229 games43% · 107 games
Techiesraregods
Techies
Clockwerk
Clockwerkrue
48% · 174 games45% · 185 games
DisruptorJANTER
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 97%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2