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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Execrationloss 1:2
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 1:2
REKONIXwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Execration

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 16 games
44%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Palos · 11 games
55%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
cml · 11 games
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Bob · 11 games
73%
Jakiro
Jakiro
cml · 10 games
40%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 10 games
50%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Tino- · 9 games
44%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
cml · 9 games
56%

REKONIX

Tiny
Tiny
TraVins · 28 games
43%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 20 games
75%
Puck
Puckoften banned
inYourdreaM · 20 games
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 18 games
22%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 18 games
61%
Rubick
Rubick
dalul · 18 games
56%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Varizh · 17 games
47%
Kez
Kezsignature
TraVins · 16 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
633 picks · 439 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
585 picks · 327 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
470 picks · 559 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
455 picks · 662 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
432 picks · 373 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
350 picks · 522 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
341 picks · 408 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
338 picks · 1029 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 46%
Hero pool strength51% REKONIX
Head-to-head1 – 6
Model total62% REKONIX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:11
Execration 44%REKONIX 56%
The model gave 56% on REKONIX — the game was taken by Execration in 36:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosAkashi
51% · 29 games55% · 111 games
Naga SirenTraVins
Naga Siren
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeTino-
44% · 232 games55% · 72 games
BrewmasterFbz
Brewmaster
Pangolier
PangolierBob
47% · 341 game51% · 259 games
PuckinYourdreaM
Puck
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterShanks
52% · 85 games44% · 146 games
EnchantressVarizh
Enchantress
Bane
Banecml
54% · 219 games50% · 318 games
Tuskdalul
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct17:37
Execration 44%REKONIX 56%
The model gave 56% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 43:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetAkashi
52% · 226 games51% · 82 games
JuggernautTraVins
Juggernaut
Viper
ViperBob
55% · 132 games49% · 267 games
BeastmasterFbz
Beastmaster
Underlord
UnderlordTino-
49% · 296 games44% · 303 games
Storm SpiritinYourdreaM
Storm Spirit
Marci
MarciShanks
49% · 213 games49% · 362 games
Hoodwinkdalul
Hoodwink
Bane
Banecml
56% · 220 games47% · 73 games
LichVarizh
Lich
Game 3prediction correct28:39
Execration 44%REKONIX 56%
The model gave 56% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 50:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerAkashi
43% · 60 games46% · 320 games
TinyTraVins
Tiny
Lycan
LycanTino-
50% · 108 games54% · 307 games
PuckinYourdreaM
Puck
Pangolier
PangolierBob
48% · 338 games58% · 215 games
DoomFbz
Doom
Hoodwink
HoodwinkShanks
52% · 436 games52% · 142 games
Marcidalul
Marci
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyverncml
46% · 65 games40% · 23 games
Crystal MaidenVarizh
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteREKONIX · 62%
Series resultREKONIX 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3