DreamLeague Season 26. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Pangolieroften banned
Miyaoo · 10 games
Snapfire
Shishak · 10 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Miyaoo · 8 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
ряф^^ · 8 games
Hoodwink
Shishak · 8 games
Clockwerk
antoha · 7 games
Lion
Shishak · 7 games
Phoenixoften banned
monodrama · 7 games
РАБОТЯГИ
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 7 games
Slardar
spirit · 6 games
Lion
lupsione · 5 games
Puckoften banned
Mirele · 5 games
Tusk
lupsione · 5 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
zvёzd · 4 games
Marcioften banned
Somnia · 4 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
spirit · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
507 picks · 695 bans
Phoenix
425 picks · 694 bans
Muerta
416 picks · 307 bans
Clockwerk
408 picks · 398 bans
Bristleback
373 picks · 849 bans
Magnus
370 picks · 982 bans
Phantom Assassin
369 picks · 618 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 495 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 30%
Hero pool strength54% РАБОТЯГИ
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Nemiga Gaming 56%РАБОТЯГИ 44%
The model gave 56% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by РАБОТЯГИ.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 56%
Series resultРАБОТЯГИ 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1