?
arrow_backBack to match
FISSURE Universe: Episode 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Night Pulseloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 35 games
74%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 27 games
70%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 25 games
64%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
68%
Magnus
Magnussignature
MieRo · 21 game
76%
Lich
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
74%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
kiyotaka · 19 games
63%

Night Pulse

Warlock
Warlocksignature
Kidaro · 21 game
76%
Muerta
Muerta
dEsire · 19 games
58%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Worick · 18 games
72%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kidaro · 16 games
56%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Worick · 15 games
67%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Worick · 15 games
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 14 games
71%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Kami · 14 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
501 picks · 688 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
432 picks · 702 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
421 picks · 408 bans
53%
Muerta
Muerta
414 picks · 317 bans
53%
Bristleback
Bristleback
372 picks · 862 bans
57%
Magnus
Magnus
372 picks · 965 bans
58%
Pangolier
Pangolier
366 picks · 502 bans
49%
Batrider
Batrider
365 picks · 424 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 70%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:3
BETBOOM TEAM 64%Night Pulse 36%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 25:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerPure~
56% · 113 games45% · 99 games
TerrorbladeKami
Terrorblade
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
51% · 155 games48% · 76 games
TidehunterDavai
Tidehunter
Night Stalker
Night StalkerMieRo
48% · 82 games51% · 230 games
Dragon KnightWorick
Dragon Knight
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
54% · 59 games42% · 18 games
Ancient ApparitionKidaro
Ancient Apparition
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenKataomi
52% · 178 games49% · 164 games
WeaverLelis
Weaver
Game 2prediction correct39:11
BETBOOM TEAM 61%Night Pulse 39%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 34:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightPure~
44% · 57 games47% · 119 games
Phantom AssassinKami
Phantom Assassin
Tiny
TinygpK~
52% · 386 games50% · 293 games
PangolierDavai
Pangolier
Tidehunter
TidehunterMieRo
49% · 97 games53% · 148 games
Storm SpiritWorick
Storm Spirit
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionKataomi
55% · 19 games51% · 48 games
Keeper of the LightLelis
Keeper of the Light
Night Stalker
Night StalkerSave-
54% · 81 game42% · 32 games
SilencerKidaro
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 72%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2