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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
REKONIXwin 2:0
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Grind Backloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Tiny
Tiny
TraVins · 28 games
43%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 20 games
75%
Puck
Puckoften banned
inYourdreaM · 20 games
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 18 games
22%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 18 games
61%
Rubick
Rubick
dalul · 18 games
56%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Varizh · 17 games
47%
Kez
Kezsignature
TraVins · 16 games
63%

Grind Back

Tiny
Tiny
Cije · 3 games
0%
Bane
Bane
ace12 · 2 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
OneJey · 2 games
0%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
0%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
0%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
seimei · 1 game
0%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
Cije · 1 game
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
seimei · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
633 picks · 442 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
582 picks · 325 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
482 picks · 571 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
454 picks · 663 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
443 picks · 380 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
353 picks · 528 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
347 picks · 411 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
342 picks · 1043 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 55%
Hero pool strength56% REKONIX
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total75% REKONIX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
REKONIX 75%Grind Back 25%
The model gave 75% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX.
Game 2prediction correct
REKONIX 75%Grind Back 25%
The model gave 75% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX.
Model check result
Model favoriteREKONIX · 75%
Series resultREKONIX 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2