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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO5
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 3:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 3:0
PlayTimeloss 0:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Bane
Banesignature
KJ · 14 games
64%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 14 games
71%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
KJ · 10 games
80%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Wisper · 9 games
56%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangersignature
Yuma · 8 games
88%
Kez
Kezsignature
Yuma · 8 games
75%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Wisper · 7 games
86%
Puck
Pucksignature
TaiLung · 7 games
86%

PlayTime

Tusk
Tusk
DJ · 18 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Scofield · 17 games
59%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Elmisho · 14 games
71%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Elmisho · 13 games
38%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Wits · 13 games
46%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 12 games
33%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Wits · 12 games
67%
Viper
Vipersignature
DarkMago · 11 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
630 picks · 441 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
581 picks · 323 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
479 picks · 569 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
453 picks · 663 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
440 picks · 377 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
352 picks · 525 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
346 picks · 408 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
341 picks · 1039 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 54%
Hero pool strength61% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total74% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
LGD Gaming 74%PlayTime 26%
The model gave 74% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming.
Game 2prediction correct23:8
LGD Gaming 63%PlayTime 37%
The model gave 63% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 29:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterWisper
55% · 266 games49% · 112 games
ViperDarkMago
Viper
Broodmother
BroodmotherYuma
55% · 28 games48% · 183 games
KezWits
Kez
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetTaiLung
50% · 132 games50% · 150 games
LycanFrank
Lycan
Silencer
SilencerKJ
42% · 96 games48% · 207 games
ClockwerkScofield
Clockwerk
Hoodwink
HoodwinkThiolicor
49% · 389 games56% · 259 games
RingmasterElmisho
Ringmaster
Game 3prediction correct60:22
LGD Gaming 65%PlayTime 35%
The model gave 65% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 58:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckTaiLung
49% · 406 games48% · 119 games
LeshracDarkMago
Leshrac
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterYuma
48% · 232 games50% · 278 games
BeastmasterFrank
Beastmaster
Largo
LargoWisper
49% · 157 games56% · 146 games
Monkey KingWits
Monkey King
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeThiolicor
48% · 86 games50% · 217 games
PhoenixElmisho
Phoenix
Omniknight
OmniknightKJ
48% · 32 games54% · 153 games
ClockwerkScofield
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 74%
Series resultLGD Gaming 3:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3