?
arrow_backBack to match
CCT Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Apple City Gangwin 2:0
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Quantum Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Apple City Gang

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Norma · 6 games
67%
Leshrac
Leshrac
dualrazee · 3 games
100%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Norma · 3 games
67%
Marci
Marcioften banned
flacko · 3 games
67%
Mirana
Mirana
flacko · 3 games
100%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
dualrazee · 3 games
67%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
yowaai · 3 games
67%
Bane
Bane
Astral · 2 games
50%

Quantum Team

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Rvze · 13 games
31%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Fezor · 12 games
58%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Rvze · 11 games
45%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
bashka · 11 games
36%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 10 games
30%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Rvze · 10 games
40%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 9 games
11%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
kolya_kaBAN68 · 9 games
22%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
506 picks · 732 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
491 picks · 797 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
480 picks · 480 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
441 picks · 540 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
438 picks · 376 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
426 picks · 1021 bans
57%
Bristleback
Bristleback
402 picks · 927 bans
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
387 picks · 764 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 45%
Hero pool strength62% Apple City Gang
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Apple City Gang
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:8
Apple City Gang 60%Quantum Team 40%
The model gave 60% on Apple City Gang — the game was taken by Apple City Gang in 25:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeyowaai
52% · 71 game49% · 54 games
SlarkLukas
Slark
Dark Seer
Dark SeerNorma
59% · 66 games45% · 261 game
Centaur Warrunnertakizawa
Centaur Warrunner
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightdualrazee
46% · 221 game56% · 78 games
ViperRvze
Viper
Clockwerk
ClockwerkAstral
51% · 175 games45% · 149 games
Miranakolya_kaBAN68
Mirana
Marci
Marciflacko
59% · 63 games49% · 54 games
OracleFezor
Oracle
Game 2prediction correct22:23
Apple City Gang 60%Quantum Team 40%
The model gave 60% on Apple City Gang — the game was taken by Apple City Gang in 40:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeyowaai
43% · 163 games58% · 228 games
Monkey KingLukas
Monkey King
Puck
Puckdualrazee
44% · 173 games52% · 288 games
Ember SpiritRvze
Ember Spirit
Pangolier
PangolierNorma
48% · 402 games55% · 86 games
Tidehuntertakizawa
Tidehunter
Weaver
WeaverAstral
50% · 222 games56% · 177 games
Leshrackolya_kaBAN68
Leshrac
Jakiro
Jakiroflacko
41% · 189 games54% · 370 games
RubickFezor
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteApple City Gang · 69%
Series resultApple City Gang 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2