European Pro League Season 24 · BO3
result vs prediction
ASAKURAwin 2:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Lynxloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ASAKURA
Lion
slimeyao · 11 games
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 11 games
Lich
VaniLLl · 10 games
Elder Titansignature
VaniLLl · 9 games
Magnussignature
Infernal · 9 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Infernal · 9 games
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 8 games
Invokeroften banned
young G · 8 games
Team Lynx
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
504 picks · 717 bans
Phoenix
495 picks · 795 bans
Clockwerk
480 picks · 478 bans
Batrider
443 picks · 542 bans
Muerta
430 picks · 369 bans
Magnus
421 picks · 1013 bans
Bristleback
399 picks · 920 bans
Gyrocopter
391 picks · 761 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% ASAKURA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% ASAKURA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
ASAKURA 75%Team Lynx 25%
The model gave 75% on ASAKURA — the game was taken by ASAKURA.
Game 2prediction correct
ASAKURA 75%Team Lynx 25%
The model gave 75% on ASAKURA — the game was taken by ASAKURA.
Model check result
Model favoriteASAKURA · 75%
Series resultASAKURA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2