Friday Fight · BO3
result vs prediction
Team FISSUREwin 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BetBoom staffloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team FISSURE
No games played over 6 months.
BetBoom staff
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
506 picks · 712 bans
Phoenix
497 picks · 795 bans
Clockwerk
480 picks · 478 bans
Batrider
445 picks · 542 bans
Muerta
431 picks · 367 bans
Magnus
422 picks · 1009 bans
Bristleback
400 picks · 919 bans
Gyrocopter
394 picks · 762 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Team FISSURE
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% BetBoom staff
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:46
Team FISSURE 48%BetBoom staff 52%
The model gave 52% on BetBoom staff — the game was taken by Team FISSURE in 43:25.
Game 2prediction missed34:19
Team FISSURE 48%BetBoom staff 52%
The model gave 52% on BetBoom staff — the game was taken by Team FISSURE in 39:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteBetBoom staff · 52%
Series resultTeam FISSURE 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2