Friday Fight · BO3
result vs prediction
BetBoom staffwin 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
KIBER staffloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BetBoom staff
No games played over 6 months.
KIBER staff
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
506 picks · 708 bans
Phoenix
496 picks · 795 bans
Clockwerk
480 picks · 480 bans
Batrider
445 picks · 542 bans
Muerta
429 picks · 369 bans
Magnus
420 picks · 1010 bans
Bristleback
401 picks · 917 bans
Gyrocopter
394 picks · 762 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 64%
Hero pool strength50% BetBoom staff
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total51% KIBER staff
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed46:27
BetBoom staff 49%KIBER staff 51%
The model gave 51% on KIBER staff — the game was taken by BetBoom staff in 45:21.
Game 2prediction missed25:34
BetBoom staff 49%KIBER staff 51%
The model gave 51% on KIBER staff — the game was taken by BetBoom staff in 40:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteKIBER staff · 51%
Series resultBetBoom staff 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2