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CCT Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Night Pulsewin 2:0
series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ASAKURAloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Night Pulse

Muerta
Muerta
dEsire · 16 games
56%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Worick · 14 games
43%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Davai · 13 games
69%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kidaro · 13 games
62%
Lich
Lichsignature
Kidaro · 13 games
69%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Kami · 13 games
69%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Kami · 13 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Worick · 13 games
62%

ASAKURA

Lion
Lion
slimeyao · 11 games
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 11 games
91%
Lich
Lich
VaniLLl · 10 games
50%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Infernal · 9 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Infernal · 9 games
44%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
VaniLLl · 8 games
75%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 8 games
63%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
young G · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
504 picks · 699 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
495 picks · 795 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
479 picks · 479 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
446 picks · 542 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
428 picks · 368 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
419 picks · 1004 bans
57%
Bristleback
Bristleback
397 picks · 914 bans
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
392 picks · 760 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% Night Pulse
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total89% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct45:37
Night Pulse 77%ASAKURA 23%
The model gave 77% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 1:13:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritWorick
49% · 196 games46% · 79 games
Phantom Assassin7jesu
Phantom Assassin
Ursa
UrsaKami
52% · 103 games48% · 256 games
Dragon KnightSerenada
Dragon Knight
Dark Seer
Dark SeerDavai
59% · 159 games46% · 82 games
UnderlordVladikTheHtiviy
Underlord
Mirana
MiranadEsire
58% · 100 games40% · 144 games
Muertaslimeyao
Muerta
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiKidaro
48% · 126 games55% · 123 games
Elder TitanVaniLLl
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction correct41:26
Night Pulse 75%ASAKURA 25%
The model gave 75% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 32:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterKami
53% · 317 games43% · 83 games
Marci7jesu
Marci
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritWorick
50% · 213 games46% · 244 games
BeastmasterVladikTheHtiviy
Beastmaster
Magnus
MagnusDavai
55% · 201 game49% · 341 game
PangolierSerenada
Pangolier
Night Stalker
Night StalkerdEsire
54% · 81 game53% · 81 game
WarlockVaniLLl
Warlock
Silencer
SilencerKidaro
60% · 7 games44% · 70 games
Shadow Shamanslimeyao
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 89%
Series resultNight Pulse 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2