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CCT Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 2:1
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:1
РАБОТЯГИloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Zero Tenacity

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
LeBronDota · 33 games
39%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
DaaD- · 30 games
50%
Lion
Lion
Pablo · 26 games
42%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
jAMES · 23 games
39%
Lich
Lich
LeBronDota · 23 games
48%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Nefrit · 23 games
48%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Pablo · 22 games
68%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
LeBronDota · 21 game
38%

РАБОТЯГИ

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 7 games
29%
Lion
Lion
lupsione · 5 games
40%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
zvёzd · 4 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
asdekor_r · 4 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Mirele · 4 games
25%
Pugna
Pugna
asdekor_r · 4 games
25%
Tusk
Tusk
lupsione · 4 games
50%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Somnia · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
504 picks · 692 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
496 picks · 797 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
479 picks · 477 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
448 picks · 544 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
430 picks · 369 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
421 picks · 1007 bans
57%
Bristleback
Bristleback
395 picks · 914 bans
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
393 picks · 761 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:17
Zero Tenacity 66%РАБОТЯГИ 34%
The model gave 66% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 41:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tidehunter
TidehunterNefrit
50% · 58 games47% · 45 games
Nature's Prophetssnovv1
Nature's Prophet
Lifestealer
LifestealerRetsu
49% · 128 games53% · 129 games
Dark Seerspirit
Dark Seer
Leshrac
LeshracStojkov
48% · 115 games52% · 111 games
SlardarMirele
Slardar
Phoenix
PhoenixPablo
51% · 194 games44% · 56 games
Night StalkerSomnia
Night Stalker
Elder Titan
Elder TitanHduo
55% · 97 games49% · 251 game
Crystal Maidenasdekor_r
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct21:5
Zero Tenacity 66%РАБОТЯГИ 34%
The model gave 66% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 23:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordRetsu
49% · 98 games54% · 530 games
Tinyssnovv1
Tiny
Beastmaster
BeastmasterNefrit
42% · 208 games52% · 184 games
LeshracMirele
Leshrac
Pangolier
PangolierStojkov
49% · 348 games51% · 94 games
Night Stalkerspirit
Night Stalker
Muerta
MuertaPablo
47% · 179 games50% · 170 games
MarciSomnia
Marci
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenHduo
50% · 216 games57% · 71 game
Ioasdekor_r
Io
Game 3prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 79%РАБОТЯГИ 21%
The model gave 79% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 79%
Series resultZero Tenacity 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3