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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO3
result vs prediction
Heroicloss 1:2
series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 30 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
4nalog · 30 games
60%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Scofield · 22 games
64%
Lion
Lion
Scofield · 20 games
55%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Wisper · 20 games
70%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
KJ · 18 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Davai · 17 games
41%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Wisper · 17 games
71%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 34 games
74%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 27 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 27 games
78%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 23 games
70%
Magnus
Magnussignature
MieRo · 21 game
76%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
kiyotaka · 20 games
65%
Lich
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
74%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
502 picks · 681 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
495 picks · 796 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
477 picks · 478 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
448 picks · 546 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
429 picks · 368 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
420 picks · 1003 bans
57%
Bristleback
Bristleback
395 picks · 913 bans
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
393 picks · 761 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 54%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total74% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:9
Heroic 37%BETBOOM TEAM 63%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Heroic in 35:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeYuma
49% · 161 game51% · 71 game
Nature's ProphetgpK~
Nature's Prophet
Broodmother
Broodmother4nalog
42% · 40 games52% · 246 games
BeastmasterPure~
Beastmaster
Magnus
MagnusWisper
54% · 152 games46% · 58 games
AbaddonMieRo
Abaddon
Leshrac
LeshracScofield
54% · 56 games60% · 7 games
SilencerKataomi
Silencer
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonKJ
47% · 213 games50% · 240 games
LionSave-
Lion
Game 2prediction correct7:26
Heroic 38%BETBOOM TEAM 62%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 27:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterWisper
49% · 227 games49% · 160 games
LeshracPure~
Leshrac
Razor
RazorYuma
42% · 164 games54% · 300 games
Storm SpiritgpK~
Storm Spirit
Pangolier
Pangolier4nalog
49% · 355 games43% · 71 game
AbaddonMieRo
Abaddon
Tusk
TuskScofield
58% · 200 games52% · 419 games
BatriderSave-
Batrider
Jakiro
JakiroKJ
51% · 76 games53% · 72 games
IoKataomi
Io
Game 3prediction correct6:21
Heroic 34%BETBOOM TEAM 66%
The model gave 66% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 25:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenYuma
47% · 105 games53% · 178 games
LinagpK~
Lina
Leshrac
Leshrac4nalog
49% · 49 games55% · 43 games
RikiPure~
Riki
Mars
MarsWisper
48% · 114 games55% · 169 games
Dark SeerMieRo
Dark Seer
Muerta
MuertaScofield
46% · 116 games52% · 32 games
DazzleKataomi
Dazzle
Phoenix
PhoenixKJ
45% · 230 games52% · 192 games
MarciSave-
Marci
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 74%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3