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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 0:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
ATF · 47 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 42 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 42 games
52%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 37 games
89%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 32 games
63%
Razor
Razorsignature
ATF · 31 game
61%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Cr1t- · 27 games
59%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Skiter · 26 games
81%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 33 games
73%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 27 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 27 games
78%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 23 games
70%
Magnus
Magnussignature
MieRo · 20 games
75%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
kiyotaka · 20 games
65%
Lich
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
74%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
499 picks · 658 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
495 picks · 795 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
479 picks · 479 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
452 picks · 551 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
419 picks · 362 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
414 picks · 1002 bans
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
390 picks · 763 bans
56%
Bristleback
Bristleback
387 picks · 909 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 53%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head11 – 3
Model total61% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:34
Team Falcons 58%BETBOOM TEAM 42%
The model gave 58% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 48:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackATF
44% · 126 games43% · 117 games
Phantom AssassinPure~
Phantom Assassin
Puck
PuckSumaiL
52% · 123 games43% · 64 games
Dark SeerMieRo
Dark Seer
Alchemist
AlchemistSkiter
55% · 83 games46% · 165 games
Ember SpiritgpK~
Ember Spirit
Muerta
MuertaCr1t-
51% · 127 games55% · 65 games
JakiroKataomi
Jakiro
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSneyking
56% · 48 games55% · 96 games
Bounty HunterSave-
Bounty Hunter
Game 2prediction missed7:36
Team Falcons 55%BETBOOM TEAM 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenSkiter
46% · 79 games55% · 145 games
MagnusPure~
Magnus
Bristleback
BristlebackATF
57% · 214 games54% · 191 game
Ember SpiritgpK~
Ember Spirit
Leshrac
LeshracSumaiL
49% · 57 games45% · 107 games
DawnbreakerMieRo
Dawnbreaker
Tusk
TuskCr1t-
46% · 198 games48% · 184 games
MuertaSave-
Muerta
Jakiro
JakiroSneyking
48% · 83 games50% · 4 games
SilencerKataomi
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 61%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2