CCT Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAloss 1:2series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 1:2
РАБОТЯГИwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Passion UA
Hoodwink
Fernans · 32 games
Tusk
flacko · 27 games
Batrideroften banned
Fernans · 26 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 26 games
Bristlebacksignature
Batyuk · 23 games
Dark Willow
Fernans · 20 games
Pangoliersignature
niche · 20 games
Clockwerkoften banned
flacko · 19 games
РАБОТЯГИ
Lion
lupsione · 5 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
zvёzd · 4 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 4 games
Phoenixoften banned
asdekor_r · 4 games
Puckoften banned
Mirele · 4 games
Tusk
lupsione · 4 games
Muerta
lupsione · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
Mirele · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
500 picks · 657 bans
Phoenix
496 picks · 795 bans
Clockwerk
480 picks · 480 bans
Batrider
453 picks · 552 bans
Muerta
421 picks · 362 bans
Magnus
415 picks · 1003 bans
Gyrocopter
391 picks · 764 bans
Bristleback
387 picks · 908 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 33%
Hero pool strength53% Passion UA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Passion UA 87%РАБОТЯГИ 13%
The model gave 87% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Game 2prediction missed
Passion UA 87%РАБОТЯГИ 13%
The model gave 87% on Passion UA — the game was taken by РАБОТЯГИ.
Game 3prediction missed42:30
Passion UA 72%РАБОТЯГИ 28%
The model gave 72% on Passion UA — the game was taken by РАБОТЯГИ in 52:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
DoomBatyuk
Nature's Prophetssnovv1
UrsaCrystallize
Ember SpiritMirele
Monkey Kingniche
Tidehunterspirit
WeaverFernans
Crystal Maidenasdekor_r
46% · 89 games
MarciSomnia
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 87%
Series resultРАБОТЯГИ 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3