?
arrow_backBack to match
CCT Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
One Movewin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ASAKURAloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

One Move

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Difference · 31 game
42%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Difference · 25 games
52%
Marci
Marcisignature
not me · 23 games
70%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
not me · 18 games
22%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkersignature
SSS · 18 games
61%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
SSS · 17 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
WoE · 17 games
71%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Difference · 17 games
47%

ASAKURA

Lion
Lion
slimeyao · 11 games
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 11 games
91%
Lich
Lich
VaniLLl · 10 games
50%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Infernal · 9 games
67%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
VaniLLl · 8 games
75%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 8 games
63%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
young G · 8 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Infernal · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
502 picks · 655 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
496 picks · 795 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
481 picks · 480 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
454 picks · 555 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
422 picks · 362 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
417 picks · 1007 bans
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
393 picks · 764 bans
56%
Bristleback
Bristleback
388 picks · 909 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 64%
Hero pool strength54% ASAKURA
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total67% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
One Move 67%ASAKURA 33%
The model gave 67% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move.
Game 2prediction correct
One Move 67%ASAKURA 33%
The model gave 67% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move.
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 67%
Series resultOne Move 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2