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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 33 games
73%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 27 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 27 games
78%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 23 games
70%
Magnus
Magnussignature
MieRo · 20 games
75%
Lich
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
74%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
kiyotaka · 19 games
63%

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 29 games
79%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 24 games
75%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 23 games
65%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 22 games
45%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 22 games
82%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 21 game
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 21 game
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 20 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
503 picks · 649 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
497 picks · 796 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
480 picks · 480 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
453 picks · 552 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
423 picks · 363 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
418 picks · 1007 bans
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
392 picks · 763 bans
56%
Bristleback
Bristleback
385 picks · 911 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 63%
Hero pool strength52% PARIVISION
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total58% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:10
BETBOOM TEAM 45%PARIVISION 55%
The model gave 55% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinagpK~
45% · 150 games60% · 87 games
Naga SirenSatanic
Naga Siren
Monkey King
Monkey KingPure~
51% · 238 games49% · 89 games
Queen of PainNo[o]ne
Queen of Pain
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerMieRo
48% · 156 games51% · 254 games
PhoenixDM
Phoenix
Silencer
SilencerKataomi
34% · 7 games49% · 288 games
Batrider9Class
Batrider
Lion
LionSave-
52% · 216 games47% · 49 games
JakiroDukalis
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct33:47
BETBOOM TEAM 44%PARIVISION 56%
The model gave 56% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 57:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterPure~
46% · 334 games47% · 94 games
Phantom AssassinSatanic
Phantom Assassin
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
54% · 221 game44% · 446 games
PangolierNo[o]ne
Pangolier
Sand King
Sand KingMieRo
54% · 147 games54% · 218 games
BristlebackDM
Bristleback
Lion
LionSave-
56% · 188 games45% · 57 games
WarlockDukalis
Warlock
Io
IoKataomi
49% · 60 games50% · 135 games
Leshrac9Class
Leshrac
Game 3prediction correct16:32
BETBOOM TEAM 43%PARIVISION 57%
The model gave 57% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 27:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistPure~
57% · 182 games45% · 48 games
BroodmotherSatanic
Broodmother
Abaddon
AbaddonMieRo
43% · 47 games48% · 86 games
SniperNo[o]ne
Sniper
Primal Beast
Primal BeastgpK~
53% · 226 games46% · 174 games
BristlebackDM
Bristleback
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
44% · 77 games52% · 93 games
ChenDukalis
Chen
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSave-
53% · 41 game54% · 172 games
Tusk9Class
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 58%
Series resultPARIVISION 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3